Posted by:
Inspired Stupidity
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Date: August 26, 2014 01:54AM
Let's work backward with from numbers. $2,500 a month is $30,000 a year, right? Assuming an interest rate of 5%, that means a mortgage of $600,000 after the down payment. So what you are saying is that if someone can put down $120,000 in cash and assume a $600,000 mortgage, he or she can live nicely.
That bears scant resemblance to the situation in much of California. In Silicon Valley, an old home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths normally sells for close to $2,000,000 plus repairs. The situation in San Francisco is almost as bad. If you go to San Jose, that same dump of a home would cost $1,600,000. In the Central Valley, the price for an old small home would drop towards the numbers you suggest, but you can't reasonably commute to San Francisco, Silicon Valley, or many parts of SoCal.
The real numbers for a modest family home, situated in a good area, are closer to a down payment of $400,000 and a monthly mortgage payment of $6,000 in interest alone. Actual monthly payments would be substantially higher for almost everyone, since they would be required to pay down some of the principle as well. So it would take a about a downpayment of $400,000 and monthly payments of some $7,000 for a modest home in the better parts of LA, in San Francisco, in Silicon Valley, and in East Oakland.
The other way to look at it is to use the realtor's rule of thumb: that someone should never take out a mortgage greater than five times his or her annual income. If a modest home is $2,000,000, then a "modest" income needs to be $400,000 per annum. These numbers are beyond most everyone's reach, obviously.