Posted by:
crom
(
)
Date: August 07, 2013 06:04PM
People who know a bit about statistics took issue with their "analysis" in the book.
Joseph was his own data set where they only looked at the AGE GAP between him and his wives. They compared it with a data set from the era for men 34 - 38 and the ages of their wives. They claimed the means and standard deviations were "comparable".* Conclusion this is normal.
The problems are:
These people in the other data sets were monogamous and didn't marry women who were already married.
Some of these other data sets, particularly the ones that more closely align with Joseph's, are slim making them suspect to being 'representative'. (They also group "teens" for overall percentages. No differentiation made between being 14 and 19.)
To see some of their tables:
http://signaturebooks.com/2011/06/craig-foster-defends-joseph-smiths-underage-marriages/Joseph was fortunate to have some outliers that cancelled/balanced out. 14 year old Helen Mar Kimball and 14 year old Nancy Mariah Winchester are cancelled out by 56 year old Fanny Young and 58 year old Rhoda Richards. On average a perfectly respectable age. (But it also makes his standard deviation larger than "normal".)
It assumes that polygamy is perfectly normal.
Marrying every few weeks happens all the time.
Stories of flaming swords and eternal salvation/damnation are the usual reasons people get married.
Yeah, perfectly normal, nothing weird here.
*I disagree.
Edited 7 time(s). Last edit at 08/07/2013 07:30PM by crom.