Posted by:
randyj
(
)
Date: September 07, 2016 12:40PM
"Whoa...randyj, I grew up in the South, too. I don't know much about statistics, but NormaRae's explanation totally rings true. I don't doubt the OP's story at all."
The way the OP originally posted his story didn't make sense. He clarified it in another post. When someone gives you a phone book and tells you to call people in alphabetical order, there's no way of telling what race they are. The only way you could call random numbers and get a majority of black respondents is if the community that the phone book covers is a majority black community. Based on what the OP wrote, the missionary who assigned him the area phone book from which to call people probably wasn't aware that that particular community was majority black.
I cited the city of Tuskegee, AL as an example (93% black, 4% white.) Tuskegee sits between Montgomery and Auburn, in the heart of the old cotton belt. So a large percentage of its residents are descendants of slaves. The historically black college Tuskegee Institute, founded by Booker T. Washington, is also there, so that attracts a lot of black students and employees (the singing group The Commodores met each other while students there.) So naturally, if you call random phone numbers in that area, you'll get a majority of black respondents.
But just a few miles from Tuskegee, across I-85, is the city of Tallassee, which is 68% white and 21% black. So if you call random phone numbers there, you'll get a very different demographic of respondents. But young missionaries who are making random phone calls would have no way of knowing the racial demographic of people listed in the phone book.
This subject reminds me of my mission in Australia, when my MP assigned me to an inner-city area near the riverfront wharf in Brisbane. When I met with the MP on my way to my new assignment, he warned me to "stay out of the bad areas." Problem is, I had no way of distinguishing the "good areas" from the "bad areas." All we knew was to take a street map and go out and knock on doors, like missionaries do everywhere. If we knocked on doors in "good areas," few people would talk to us. Or, a lot of those areas were apartment buildings with security buzzers, so we couldn't get in them anyway. The only people who would talk to us were in the low-to-middle-income, working class areas. A lot of those people were on disability or had mental problems and were on government benefits etc. So it was slim pickings for us. We taught a lot of 1st and 2nd discussions, but we rarely got past that point. But we had no way of knowing who was going to be worth talking to until we knocked on random doors and met them. Same goes for the OP and the phone book incident.