Date: January 10, 2019 09:35AM
The topic of how many people are active often comes up, and we know it is about 1/3 of the number claimed as Mormon, by the Mormon church.
But the bigger question in my mind is how many actual adults could be considered the active, true believing, and Kool-Aid drinking Mormons.
Assuming 5,000,000 regular attendees, there are a lot of children within that number, there are a lot of people who just don't believe but attend for social reasons, or for family/spousal reasons, etc.
My first guess at the number of real TBM adults was going to be about 500,000, based upon the old rule that 90% of the work is done by 10% of the people. I was discussing my theory with a Mormon friend and he told me the actual number the church considers to reflect the number of hardcore Adult Mormons that really believe.
His number came from Boyd K. Packer
He has a SP friend who was discussing this very topic with Boyd in approximately 2014. Boyd told the SP that when the church reviews tithing records, TR holders, callings, etc, and then removes children, cafeteria and social Mormons the number of TBM adults is 250,000.
Yes, that's it - 250,000 adult Mormons that meet the church's criteria to be considered real TBM. I can't say for sure exactly what the criteria they use of course.
I also don't know if that number also includes the 65,000 currently serving missionaries, as they are over 18, and fully active, but not paying tithing of course. So some questions are unanswered about how the church comes to this number of course, but the general number is accurate.
I don't have a documentable source to verify this number, but I trust my friend, he has zero reason to lie and has always been a very honest.