Posted by:
Free Man
(
)
Date: March 03, 2020 12:35AM
"There was a news conference with the US VP a little while ago. I missed most of it, due to working. I did hear them say that 4 of the recent deaths in Washington occurred in a "cluster", that is, people from one location (nursing home). That is understandable in that there is closer contact than if you just pass someone on the street, say. It would seem slightly reassuring that it isn't 6 people spread out all over, potentially infecting a larger more diverse group."
Again, the risk factors for illness and death are age and underlying health issues, as in a nursing home.
So if you are old and/or have significant health issues that compromise immunity, I wouldn't worry much.
Sure, you can stay home, but that applies to other illnesses also.
Likely there has been many more infected than we know about, but they either have no symptoms or mild symptoms.
Here's a good article with some stats. Note the percentages are of known cases - so should be much lower considering asymptomatic or mild cases not included.
https://healthykidshappykids.com/2020/02/27/coronavirus-covid-19/quote
However, certain populations seem to be more at risk for serious infection and for death. Increasing age seems to be the most important factor, and as mentioned above, children appear relatively spared. In a report released by the Chinese CCDC on February 17, 2020 in the Chinese Journal of Epidemiology, the risk of death increases with age, with being over 80 the highest risk factor. The fatality rate of patients over 80 years old was estimated to be 14.8%. Death in those under 50 appears to be unlikely, with the mortality rate of 40-49 year olds estimated to be 0.4% and 0.2% for patients 10-39 years of age. As noted above, there have been NO deaths in children 0-9 years old. Having a chronic, pre-existing medical condition also significantly increased the risk of death. Without any pre-existing condition, the mortality rate was 0.9%. A history of cardiovascular disease increased the risk to 10.5%. (7)
So like the influenza virus, the elderly and those with underlying chronic medical conditions appear to be most at risk for serious complications and death from COVID-19.