Posted by:
Human
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Date: March 19, 2020 09:52AM
Dylan Ratigan, everyone’s favourite ex-CNBC/MSNBC journalist, just came back from Italy. He has the following to say about what America needs to do RIGHT NOW (part one) and what is happening to the financial markets (part two):
Part One:
https://youtu.be/A_rAWAkKVHgPart Two:
https://youtu.be/2Un6ytSCVLUImperial College (London) modelled the death rate of COVID-19 from China/Korea/Italy. Here’s the report:
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdfJeremy C. Young, an academic, breaks this down on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/jeremycyoung/status/1239975682643357696?s=20His takeaway, EVEN IF the US successfully “flattens the curve”:
“And it does flatten the curve -- but not nearly enough. The death rate from the disease is cut in half, but it still kills 1.1 million Americans all by itself. The peak need for ventilators falls by two-thirds, but it still exceeds the number of ventilators in the US by 8 times.”
“That leaves the actual death toll in the US at right around 2 million deaths. The population of Houston. Two Civil Wars. One-third of the Holocaust. Globally, 45 million people die: 7.5 Holocausts, 3/4 of World War II. That's what happens if we rely on mitigation & common sense.”
Alarmist? Impossible? Well, we’ll see. In the meantime, since it’s rarely folly to stay on the “safe side” of things, TAKE SOCIAL DISTANCING SERIOUSLY. It is the only way to flatten the curve. And even then...
Human